Showing posts with label Property Right. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Property Right. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

What's NOEs' Worth

Inspired by Prof. Lang, here’s some stats from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, collectively owned by the good people of China:

“2006年,全国国有企业户数共计11.9万户,比2003年减少3.1万户,年均减少8%。但累计实现销售收入16.2万亿元,比2003年增长50.9%,年均增长14.7%;实现利润1.2万亿元,比2003年增长147.3%,年均增长35.2%;上缴税金1.4万亿元,比2003年增长72%,年均增长19.8%;企业资产总额29万亿元,比2003年增长45.7%,年均增长13.4%;户均资产2.4亿元,比2003年增长84.6%,年均增长22.7%。”

Here’s a simple valuation:

Net Income of all NOE is RMB 1.2 trillion, Market Value =

  • RMB 6 trillion @5x P/E
  • RMB 12 trillion @10x P/E
  • RMB 18 trillion @15x P/E
  • RMB 24 trillion @20x P/E

It’s roughly the total market value of listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange or Hong Kong Stock Exchange, or the worth of Mongolia, or any of a list of African countries.