Thursday, March 12, 2009

The Dark Side of Foreclosure

Warning: Do not draft your business plans on this post.

I talked about foreclosure, a closely watched sign of the economy in this housing-driven crisis.

I later found that foreclosure happens in many other forms. Here are two.

Monthly Mortgage Default Rate

The above graph is quite telling. Housing prices are deep under water, sometimes over 80% under mortgage owned (hence more under purchase price). Absurd. The funny thing is, home owners like this should foreclose, rationally. If you owe $300,000 mortgage on a now $50,000, you should let foreclose the house and then buy it back, earning somewhere less than $250,000.

Another thing is buyer fraud. As illustrated, it works like this: you find a $300,000 home, get an appraiser (who’s willing to lie) to label it $600,000, get a mortgage of that amount, pays $300,000 to the seller, then default and get away with the surplus. 

What’s credit’s worth?

http://icecurtain.blogspot.com/

No comments:

Post a Comment